Service Plays Wednesday 12/15/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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Thank you, wilheim




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[canuckwannabe]

Insiders Edge Sports

nhl

Detroit -180

Philladelphia +111

found these guys on sportspickmonitor . apparently they are a new service

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ice picks: Wednesday's best NHL bets

Philadelphia Flyers at Montreal Canadiens (-125, 5.5)

The Montreal Canadiens return to the Bell Centre Wednesday, hoping to snap a two-game skid with road losses in Toronto and Detroit.

The Habs play host the Philadelphia Flyers, who have split their two meetings with Montreal this season, most recently knocking off the Canadiens, 3-2, in Philadelphia last month.

Montreal is aiming to have some bodies back in the lineup after center Scott Gomez and defensemen Jaroslav Spacek and Josh Gorges skated at practice Tuesday. Gomez has missed the last two games due to multiple injuries, most notably a broken toe. Without him, the Habs offense has managed just three total goals in that span.

"I probably went 100 percent, in practice you don't want to go out there and worry about it," Gomez told reporters. "With broken toes, your stride's a little off."

Gomez will be reunited with New Jersey teammate Brian Gionta on a line with AHL callup Max Pacioretty. He was leading the AHL in goals and netted 16 goals in his last 19 games with the farm team.

"I think there would be good balance on that line if we do play together," Pacioretty told the media after practice Tuesday. "They're the two skill guys, and I've been playing really well in front of the net and in the corners. So I'd have to be the first one in on the forecheck, and grinding out pucks and going to the net."

Expect the scoring attack to shake its slump Wednesday night in front of a frenzied home-town crowd. The Canadiens average 2.88 goals per home game and are 11-4-2-0 inside the Bell Centre this season.

Pick: Montreal

San Jose Sharks at Nashville Predators (-130, 5.5)

Goals haven’t been hard to come by when the Sharks and Predators collide. Their last four games have had an average of 8.5 goals, toppling the NHL betting totals in each of those meetings.

However, big changes are in store for hockey bettors Wednesday night. And when we say big, we mean 6-foot-6 goaltender Anders Lindback. Nashville’s rookie puck stopper has posted back-to-back shutout victories, stumping the Panthers and Islanders while making 60 combined saves in those wins.

"It's a great feeling," Lindback said after shutting out the Panthers this past weekend. "The guys are doing a really great job in front of me. I only take the first shot, and if there are any rebounds that get through, they get them out for me."

Lindback is playing in place of injured No. 1 goalie Pekka Rinne, who is out until later this month with a knee injury. His efforts have helped the Preds build a 5-1 record in the past six games and improve the team’s home mark to 7-1-3-2.

Pick: Nashville

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Wednesday's best NCAAB bets

Akron Zips at No. 20 Minnesota Golden Gophers (-15, N/A)

The Gophers are going to be without one of their top defenders for at least another game or two, but that hasn’t hurt them much so far – at least not in the win column.

Guard Al Nolen has been out of action since tests revealed a stress fracture in his foot last month. Minnesota shut Eastern Kentucky down on the perimeter on its way to a 71-58 win on Saturday, their third victory in a row, but couldn’t cover as 16-point favorites.

"Coach (Tubby Smith) was just emphasizing shutting them down," Blake Hoffarber, who scored 14 points, told reporters after the game. "Offense wasn't really clicking, so we've got to win the game playing defense."

That defense isn’t nearly as good without Nolen though. With him in the lineup Minnesota allowed just over 67 points per game while opponents hit just under 34 percent from beyond the arc. The Gophers are giving up more than 75 points on 44 percent 3-point shooting since he has been on the shelf.

Looks like too many points here even against Akron’s mediocre offense.

Pick: Zips

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos at No. 22 UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-16.5, N/A)

Everything looked great for the Runnin’ Rebels as they took a 5-point lead into the half against Louisville on Saturday. They had hit seven of their 12 trey attempts and held all but one Cardinals starter off the score sheet in the opening 20 minutes.

However, it was a different story in the second frame as UNLV’s outside shooting went cold and the rest of the Cardinals woke up. Louisville came away with a 77-69 victory, marking the third straight game the Rebels couldn’t cover the number.

UNLV’s tough travel schedule that hasn’t had the team play a game at the Thomas and Mack Center in three weeks - with one neutral site game in there - could have played a role in the second half of that game, but look for the Rebels to rebound at home on Tuesday.

"We didn't do the things we have to do to win," Coach Lon Kruger said. "We'll learn from this and pay more attention to details and get back and get better."

Pick: Rebels

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pick 'n' roll: Wednesday's best NBA bets

Cleveland Cavaliers at Miami Heat (-17.5, 194)

It’s safe to say there’s a little less hype over the second matchup between LeBron James and his former team.

The first time they got together in Cleveland, King James showed the Cavs what they’re missing this year by going off for 38 points, eight assists and five rebounds in a 118-90 beatdown with Miami set as 5.5-point favorites.

Any hoops bettor would beg for a line like that this time around, but Miami’s nine-game winning streak coupled with Cleveland’s eight-game losing skid leave us with some fat odds to deal with – fat enough to check in as the biggest spread Miami has seen all year.

''[Coach] said, 'If y'all get stops, if y'all get rebounds, then y'all can do whatever y'all want,' so as players we enjoy that,” Dwyane Wade told the Miami Herald. “When the ball goes through the basket, then we've got to do what he wants us to do.''

''We're a different ball club. We know our identity now.''

And right now that identity is a team that consistently wins by double digits. That shouldn’t change here, but you have to be worried about a backdoor cover here if/when the Big Three hit the pine.

Pick: Over

Boston Celtics at New York Knicks (3.5, 206)

This is becoming a common theme for the Boston Celtics – Shaquille O’Neal is questionable for Wednesday’s game.

Shaq has a lot of miles on him of course, so this isn’t much of a surprise. He has missed the last two games with a strained calf and didn’t practice on Tuesday but the C’s could really use him inside against Amar’e Stoudemire.

Stoudemire has scored at least 30 points in eight straight games and is averaging 26.2 points and 9.1 rebounds per game.

"Whoever we start at center will guard him,” Celtics coach Doc Rivers said about facing Stoudemire. “Whoever starts at center will post him. So we won't do much different. Obviously, there will be times when Baby (Glen Davis) and Kevin (Garnett) are on the floor together and that will be an effective lineup, as well, for us."

The Knicks are beginning to bring that buzz back to the Garden and Stoudemire isn’t the only guy filling the bucket as they are averaging 116 per game over the last five.

Pick: Knicks

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bettors' best friend (BBF): Wednesday's wagering tips

Lines to watch

The Knicks were set as a 3.5-point underdog at the open against Celtics, but now sit at +3.

Who’s hot

NBA: Chicago Bulls have won six straight, covering in four of those games.

NBA: Philadelphia 76ers have covered in eight consecutive games.

NBA: New York Knicks have won eight in a row, covering the number seven times.

NBA: Miami Heat have won and covered nine straight.

Who’s not

NBA: Cleveland Cavaliers have lost eight straight, dropping the cash seven times.

NBA: New Orleans Hornets 1-5 against the spread in their last six.

NBA: Phoenix Suns have lost three in a row both straight up and against the spread.

NCAAB: UNLV has dropped three straight against the spread.

NHL: Washington Capitals have lost six straight.

NHL: New Jersey Devils have lost five in a row.

Key stat

7.9 – The San Antonio Spurs average 7.9 more points per 100 possessions when George Hill is on the floor than when he is on the bench. Hill has scored in double digits in each of the club’s last 11 games, leading many to name him as a candidate for Sixth Man of the Year honors.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Derrick Rose (wrist), Chicago Bulls – Rose is questionable for Wednesday’s game against the Toronto Raptors after he hit the deck a couple of times Monday against the Pacers. X-rays showed no fractures, but his wrists, shin and ankles are all hurting. Reports indicate he had a tough time putting his socks on following Monday’s game.

Game of the day

Boston Celtics at New York Knicks

Notable quotable

"Hey, if that's what y'all want it to be, if it'll sell more tickets and get more viewers, then I guess so. [The media makes] up the rivalries, we don't. To be honest, New York is playing well, they're in our division, and both teams are streaking, so it's going to be an exciting game." – Boston’s Paul Pierce on whether the Celtics have a rivalry with the Knicks.

Notes and tips

Sebastian Telfair’s time in Minnesota may be nearing its end. Timberwolves beat writer Jerry Zgoda thinks the point guard may be traded now that Jonny Flynn is expected to return to the lineup Tuesday. Telfair, who is averaging 7.7 points and 3.5 assists per game, is currently has a $2.7 million contract that expires after this season.

New York Rangers captain Chris Drury will return to the lineup Wednesday against the Pittsburgh Penguins. The veteran center has been out of the lineup since breaking his finger on Oct. 15. The Rangers will work him into the lineup slowly, starting on the fourth line, but he is expected to see a lot of penalty killing time.

The Phoenix Suns are also expected to get a big boost as Robin Lopez will definitely play and may start Wednesday against the Timberwolves. Lopez has been out of since suffering a pinched nerve in his right knee on Nov. 14 and his return is expected to move Channing Frye over to the power forward spot while Lopez checks in at center.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

LAS VEGAS SPORTS ADVISORS

2 UNIT* Columbus Blue Jackets +176ML

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

OUTLAW SPORTS ADVISORS

$300* Oregon State Beavers +7.5
The Beaver's backcourt is one of the best in the Pac-10 and they have been doing something different this year as a team, they are scoring points. They have a solid defense and they have a big man to answer Derek Selvig of Montana. Montana also plays good team defense but has a slow paced offense and a lack of good shooting. The Beavers should control the boards in the match-up and in a low scoring game the will cover the +7.5. The Beavers are 25 - 10 ATS in their last 35 road games.

$300* UC - Santa Barbara +17
This UC - Santa Barbara team has been over looked by everyone this season and as Dangerfield says they get no respect. This UCSB team is the best team in the Big West and have 4 very good starters from last years team that returned. They also have 2 Big West preseason All - Conference plays and last years conference player of the year in guard Orlando Johnson. UCSB is 5 - 2 ATS this season and they are the better free throw shooting team and with a spread like this one free throws help keep the game close. UCSB has the speed and size to keep up with this UNLV team with this being said I have UNLV winning of course but UCSB will cover the +17.

$500* Boston Bruins +105
I don't have a write up for this game as the play came to me from the Texas Syndicate.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Free Selection from Mr. Arthur Ralph
567- 410 (58 %)

WEDNESDAY College

Minnesota

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NCAA CBB

Season
Straight Up: 1126-304 (.787)
ATS: 423-427 (.498)
ATS Vary Units: 1581-1535 (.507)
Over/Under: 389-414 (.484)
Over/Under Vary Units: 636-747 (.460)

Non-Conference
ALABAMA 76, Southeastern Louisiana 62
ARKANSAS 84, Mississippi Valley State 60
BAYLOR 79, Bethune-Cookman 46
CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD 80, Portland State 77
College of Charleston 82, CHARLESTON SOUTHERN 73
FLORIDA STATE 75, Stetson 50
Marshall 71, SAVANNAH STATE 58
MINNESOTA 79, Akron 61
MONTANA 68, Oregon State 59
OHIO 79, Saint Francis (Pa.) 58
OHIO STATE 88, Florida Gulf Coast 49
PRESBYTERIAN 66, Jacksonville State 60
RIDER 73, Monmouth 57
SAINT LOUIS 64, Jacksonville 58
Seattle 80, EASTERN WASHINGTON 76
SOUTH FLORIDA 71, Auburn 60
STANFORD 80, North Carolina A&T 60
UCF 75, Louisiana-Lafayette 57
UNLV 75, UC Santa Barbara 58
UTEP 77, Uic 53
WAKE FOREST 86, UNC Greensboro 66

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NBA

Season
Straight Up: 236-110 (.682)
ATS: 186-167 (.527)
ATS Vary Units: 533-498 (.517)
Over/Under: 166-195 (.460)
Over/Under Vary Units: 221-239 (.480)

L.A. Lakers 102, INDIANA 99
Boston 104, NEW YORK 99
PHILADELPHIA 102, L.A. Clippers 92
Chicago 104, TORONTO 102
MIAMI 100, Cleveland 86
MEMPHIS 99, Charlotte 92
NEW ORLEANS 103, Sacramento 91
OKLAHOMA CITY 108, Houston 101
SAN ANTONIO 99, Milwaukee 88
PHOENIX 119, Minnesota 104
DALLAS 97, Portland 89

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NHL

Season: 143-101 (.586)

Boston vs. BUFFALO: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Phoenix 3, NEW JERSEY 2
PITTSBURGH 3, N.Y. Rangers 2
Anaheim vs. WASHINGTON: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
DETROIT 3, St. Louis 2
MONTREAL 3, Philadelphia 2
Atlanta vs. TAMPA BAY: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Carolina vs. FLORIDA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
NASHVILLE 3, San Jose 2
CHICAGO 4, Colorado 3
VANCOUVER 3, Columbus 2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the 76ers (-1) Tuesday night.

Wednesday it's South Florida. The deficit is 135 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CAPPERS ACCESS

Knicks
S. Florida

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JOE WIZ DAILY FREE PICK

NC Greensboro +17 over Wake Forest

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA
Write-Up


Wednesday, December 15

Hot Teams
-- Chicago won last six games, covered last three.
-- Celtics won last ten games, covered four of last five. Knicks won last eight games, covering six of last seven.
-- Lakers won four of last five games but failed to cover last six tries as a road favorite.
-- 76ers won four of last five games, covered last nine.
-- Miami won last nine games, covered last eight.
-- Oklahoma City won last three games, covered five of last seven as a home favorite. Rockets covered five of their last six games.
-- Memphis won last three games, covered last five.
-- San Antonio won last five games, covered last four. Bucks won four of their last five games.
-- Mavericks won 12 of their last 13 games; they're 5-2 in last seven games as a home favorite.

Cold Teams
-- Raptors lost five of their last six games.
-- Pacers lost five of their last seven games.
-- Clippers lost five of last six games but are 6-3 vs spread in last nine games as a road underdog.
-- Cleveland lost last eight games (1-7 vs spread).
-- New Orleans lost five of its last six games. Kings are 0-5-1 vs spread in last six games as a road underdog.
-- Bobcats covered once in last five games as road underdog.
-- Phoenix lost last three games, by 7-6-7 points. Timberwolves covered once in last six games as road underdog.
-- Portland lost its last two games, scoring 78-73 points.

Totals
-- Last five Chicago games stayed under the total. Four of Toronto's last five games went over.
-- Four of last five Boston road games stayed under the total.
-- Pacers' last three home games went over the total. Under is 11-2 in last thirteen Laker games.
-- Under is 6-0-1 in last seven Clipper games.
-- Five of last six Miami games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-3 in Houston's last ten road games.
-- Last eight New Orleans games stayed under total.
-- Under is 7-3 in last ten Charlotte games.
-- Over is 3-0-1 in Milwaukee's last four road games. Five of Spurs' last six games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Minnesota road games stayed under total.
-- Last five Dallas games went over the total.

Back-to-Back
-- Toronto is 3-2 vs spread if it played night before.
-- Lakers are 2-2 vs spread if they played night before.
-- 76ers are 3-1 vs spread at home if they played night before.
-- Rockets are 1-3 vs spread on road if they played night before.
-- Sacramento is 2-0-1 vs spread if it played the night before.
-- Charlotte is 5-2 vs spread if it played night before.
-- Minnesota is 3-1 vs spread if it lost the night before.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAB
Write-Up


Wednesday, December 15

Central Florida is 8-0, playing #296 schedule, with only two lined tilts; they beat South Florida 65-59 (-7.5) in only game as favorite. ULL is 0-6 vs D-I teams, and also lost to Texas College- they're 1-2-1 vs spread as an underdog. C-USA home favorites of 14+ points are 0-3 vs spread. Sun Belt road underdogs of more than 16 points are 8-5.

Minnesota is 9-1, playing #56 schedule, covering once in last four games as favorite; Big 11 home favorites of 15+ points are 9-8 vs spread. MAC road dogs of 15+ points are 3-6 vs spread. Akron is 3-3 vs D-I teams, with losses by 8 at Dayton (+11), by 13 to Cleveland State (-2), by 35 at Temple (+12.5).

Auburn is terrible, losing five of seven games vs D-I teams; they're 1-1 as an underdog this year, but only one of its five losses is by more than 11 points (69-55 vs Jacksonville). South Florida lost last two games, is 5-5, 0-2 vs spread as a favorite. SEC road underdogs are 12-7-1 against spread. Big East home favorites of 12+ points are 14-16 vs spread.

UTEP is 6-2 vs #248 schedule; they're 2-3 vs spread as favorite; teams that beat Miners both held them to 61 points. UL-Monroe lost seven of nine games vs D-I teams, but covered four of its last five games as dog. Sun Belt road underdogs of more than 16 points are 8-5. C-USA home favorites of 13+ points are 3-5 vs spread.

20 years ago, Santa Barbara-UNLV was a bigtime rivalry; now, Gauchos are 5-3 but haven't played in 11 days- they're 2-1 as dog, with losses by 8 to North Dakota State, 12 at Portland, 2 at Oregon. UNLV lost its first game at Louisville Saturday; they're 4-4 vs spread as a favorite. Big West road underdogs of 16+ points are 8-4 vs spread, MWC home favorites of 14+ points are 5-3 vs spread.

Wake Forest will be well-coached, but they're 5-4 this year and having growing pains; Terrell is ?? for this game for disciplnary reasons. Wake is 2-3 as favorite this year. NC-Greensboro is 0-8, losing at Va Tech by 22, Maryland by 43 in its two games vs ACC foes. ACC home favorites of 15+ points are 8-4. SoCon road underdogs of 17+ points are 3-6.

Montana won at UCLA but is just 3-4 vs D-I teams, so have to ask how good is UCLA? Griz are 1-3 vs spread as favorites. Big Sky single digit home favorites are 2-4 vs spread. Pac-10 single digit road underdogs are 3-10 against the spread. Oregon State is 4-4, 1-2 on road, losing by 3 at Seattle, 26 at Colorado- they also lost at home to Texas Southern and Utah Valley State. Not good.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL
Write-Up


Wednesday, December 15

Hot Teams
-- Anaheim won three of its last four games.
-- Sabres won three of their last four home games.
-- Pittsburgh won 12 of its last 13 games. Rangers won four of their last five road games.
-- Coyotes won six of their last seven road games.
-- Thrashers won ten of their last twelve games. Tampa Bay won five of its last seven home games.
-- Canadiens won eight of their last ten home games. Philly won five of its last six games.
-- Panthers won three of their last four games.
-- Nashville won six of last seven games, blanking last two opponents. Sharks are 5-0 in game after their last five losses.
-- Blackhawks won four of their last five home games.
-- Vancouver won six of its last eight games.

Cold Teams
-- Washington lost last six games, outscored 13-2 in last three.
-- Bruins lost three of their last five road games.
-- New Jersey lost last five games, outscored 19-8.
-- Blues lost six of their last eight games. Detroit lost four of last six.
-- Hurricanes lost nine of their last thirteen games.
-- Avalanche lost five of their last seven games.
-- Columbus lost seven of its last nine games.

Totals
-- Under is 5-2 in last seven Anaheim road games.
-- Under is 13-3-2 in Boston's last 18 games.
-- Six of last nine Ranger games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Devil home games stayed under total.
-- Five of last seven Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Last seven Lightning games went over the total.
-- Seven of Flyers' last nine games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last nine Carolina games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 3-0-1 in last four Nashville games.
-- Three of last four Chicago home games went over the total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Columbus games.

Back-to-Back
-- Penguins are 5-0 if they played the night before.
-- Flyers are 4-2 if they played the night before.

Series Records
-- Ducks lost last two games against Washington, 6-4/5-1.
-- Bruins won six of last seven games against Buffalo.
-- Rangers lost nine of last eleven games against Pittsburgh.
-- Coyotes won three of last four games against New Jersey.
-- Red Wings won eight of last eleven games against St Louis.
-- Lightning won last seven games against Atlanta.
-- Flyers won seven of last ten games against Montreal.
-- Home side won last eight Carolina-Florida games; Hurricanes lost last four visits to Miami.
-- Sharks won 13 of last 16 games against Nashville.
-- Avalanche lost five of last six visits to Chicago.
-- Canucks won four of last five games against Columbus.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Basketball Crusher
Play of the Day:

Boston + New York OVER 205

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hockey Crusher
Play of the Day:

Chicago -160 over Colorado